Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.026190 2.332577 2.663638 3.047197 3.478562 3.947900 4.496391
2024-10-06 1.637006 2.081572 2.603858 3.259166 4.055495 4.987688 6.157055
2024-10-13 1.324790 1.841183 2.494373 3.372462 4.511977 5.929658 7.814138
2024-10-20 1.058882 1.596672 2.324073 3.363925 4.793279 6.667328 9.284111
2024-10-27 0.888637 1.441815 2.235949 3.433940 5.164372 7.536601 10.988719
2024-11-03 0.754916 1.310862 2.153791 3.488799 5.504386 8.378297 12.713968
2024-11-10 0.638864 1.183449 2.052856 3.493675 5.759445 9.107783 14.326132
2024-11-17 0.536315 1.057914 1.933030 3.447238 5.921396 9.701557 15.772400
2024-11-24 0.447235 0.938398 1.803294 3.363269 6.006900 10.174941 17.059375
2024-12-01 0.388828 0.863614 1.737444 3.373787 6.238792 10.883489 18.747255
2024-12-08 0.335353 0.788121 1.658474 3.348977 6.403484 11.489280 20.304711
2024-12-15 0.302974 0.749165 1.640850 3.429699 6.752385 12.414676 22.431089
2024-12-22 0.269572 0.704091 1.609249 3.488345 7.081304 13.354193 24.687200
2024-12-29 0.252363 0.692352 1.643420 3.678375 7.669352 14.785383 27.878311
2025-01-05 0.228955 0.661693 1.634138 3.781350 8.104432 15.981142 30.746370
2025-01-12 0.198950 0.608589 1.568654 3.761295 8.300797 16.763067 32.939912
2025-01-19 0.179466 0.578161 1.548771 3.833530 8.682559 17.906145 35.844589
2025-01-26 0.161458 0.547722 1.524096 3.891616 9.039179 19.023876 38.767489
2025-02-02 0.142679 0.510769 1.478057 3.895893 9.283623 19.942706 41.374743
2025-02-09 0.123614 0.468284 1.411468 3.844278 9.403785 20.626633 43.578027
2025-02-16 0.105415 0.423693 1.331991 3.751613 9.424908 21.113673 45.429972
2025-02-23 0.093864 0.397693 1.297485 3.763087 9.674734 22.071350 48.242181
2025-03-02 0.082361 0.368716 1.249939 3.735724 9.833134 22.850303 50.742690